Sunday, June 08, 2008

proof

complete and utter bollocks • from Engadget Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer has made predictions in recent discussions with Washington Post editors, that he thinks there'll be "no media consumption left in 10 years that is not delivered over an IP network."

Every time I hear this crap I laugh maniacally . . . i will give you text books and reference books and hopefully a lot of disposable media like - pop psychology, astrology predictions and corporate biographies that will no longer be made from trees . . . and regardless of how many folks with disposable income buy themselves a Kindle to read while they peddle heir asses off at the gym.....

PRINT is the longest lived media
humanity has managed to create.

CD-ROMs are estimated to last from 30 to 200 years.
CD-Rs, before they are recorded, have an estimated shelf life of five to ten years.
CD-Rs, after recording, estimated 70 to 200 years.
CD-RWs are expected to last at least 30 years.
Photo CDs have an expected life of over 100 years.
Magnetic tape has a life of 30 to 100 years
Hard drives expected to last 114 to 170 years
A vinyl record has a life span of 100 years
solid state drives last about 145 Years

Archimedes Palimpsest 1150+ years so far.....


2 comments:

DerekL said...

Bollocks is how I would describe your comment actually.

Because it is utter insanity to imply (stopping just short of claiming outright) that how long parchment survives is representative of how long paper will survive. Or more simply - how long a book survives is a direct product of the quality of the material in it. (As well as how it is stored and handled.)

Having been a bookseller, and having handled thousands of books from the last century, few (if any) will survive even half as long as the Archimedes Palimpsest.

jgodsey said...

I'm still not seeing a problem.
What's wring with displaying a little biblio-jingoism?

of course not ALL books last that long...that was an EXAGGERATION ...a cornerstone of the humor industry.

I am all for electronic media...but the idea it will completely replace paper is stupid.

hell why do we still ENGRAVE things on granite walls? why isn't the Vietnam memorial wall made with LEDs? because it is stone is more permanent.

Why will still use paper for well EVER? because it's cheap and requires no batteries, no skill set to use it. and if the power goes out...we can use a FLAME to read the instruction manual to FIX THE GENERATOR to charge the KINDLE.

The idea that one media technology will complete replace another that is based on a different physicality is silly. It will merely AUGMENT it.

and i can't wait for it to happen.
then books and paper will become exotic!!